
Deebo Samuel Sr.: Start or Sit?
Starting WR and hybrid weapon. Yards-after-catch bully used on jet sweeps and manufactured touches.
This week’s verdict
Toss-Up· medium
24% target share and a 72% snap rate give him a real PPR floor, but a WR52 consensus rank and 8.9 projection make him a flex-only dart.
Projected
5.87.38.9
StandardHalf PPRPPR
Consensus
WR55
position rank
Opponent
LAR
this week
Implied total
22.8
team points
- LAR ranks 21 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 22.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 72% snap share in 2025.
The call
- The usage is legit: a 24% target share on a 72% snap rate over 16 games is WR1-level volume for this offense, and that alone keeps him startable in deeper PPR builds.
- The market disagrees — consensus has him WR52 at 8.9 projected points, which is below a typical 12-team starter and screams low expected efficiency on those looks.
- Matchup gives no edge either way: the LAR DvP composite sits 21 of 32 on a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's nothing there to break the tie.
- Game script is neutral-to-fine with a 22.8 implied team total and a 3.0 spread — close games keep the volume flowing. Start him if you need target floor; sit him if you have a WR3 with a defined red-zone or big-play role.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Latest on Samuel
2026 San Francisco 49ers training camp: Latest intel, updates
Catch up on our daily updates from 49ers training camp, including intel on QBs, position battles and potential breakouts.
ESPN · Aug 25, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Toss-Up· medium | 24% target share and a 72% snap rate give him a real PPR floor, but a WR52 consensus rank and 8.9 projection make him a flex-only dart. |
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